Daily Coffee Market Report (13 April 2026): Coffee Prices Edge Higher
The coffee market ended Monday (13) with modest gains across international exchanges, largely supported by developments in Brazil. While the upward movement was limited, it was sufficient to keep prices stable amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding supply and trading flows.
On the New York exchange, arabica futures moved slightly higher. The May 2026 contract settled at 300.85 cents per pound, up 75 points. July 2026 rose by 35 points to 296.25 cents per pound, while the September 2026 contract gained 70 points, closing at 281.80 cents per pound.
In London, robusta futures followed the same direction. The May 2026 contract increased by 27 points to $3,351 per ton. July 2026 added 15 points to reach $3,254, and September 2026 rose 14 points, ending at $3,193 per ton.
Support for prices continues to stem mainly from weather conditions in Brazil. Persistently dry conditions in key producing regions are raising concerns about the final stages of crop development and are limiting producer selling in the short term. At the same time, the appreciation of the Brazilian real against the US dollar reduces the incentive to export, effectively tightening global supply availability.
Export activity has also been a focal point. Data from Cecafé shows that Brazil shipped 3.04 million bags in March, an 8% decline compared to the same month last year. This reduction suggests a tighter near-term supply and helps explain the resilience in prices observed on international exchanges.
Despite the drop in shipments, global demand remains firm. Market participants are closely monitoring whether the arrival of the new Brazilian harvest will lead to a recovery in export volumes. For now, the balance between constrained supply and expectations of increased availability is limiting more pronounced price movements.
Additional support to the broader market narrative comes from Central America. In Guatemala, coffee exports have shown strong growth this season. According to Anacafé, exports reached 1.21 million bags between October and March 31, representing a 15.8% increase compared to the same period of the previous crop year. The total export value for that period rose significantly to $389.78 million, marking a 73.87% increase year-on-year.
Looking ahead, Guatemalan exports for the current harvest are projected at 4.3 million quintals, equivalent to approximately 3.23 million bags. For context, the country exported 3.19 million bags in the 2020/2021 season, which was already a 14.42% increase over the prior year, with export revenues rising 35% to $886 million.
If you notice any discrepancies in these figures or have extra information, please email [email protected] or leave a comment – corrections and additional insights are always welcome.
