Independent daily cocoa market reports covering New York and London futures, price action, spreads, volume, open interest, arrivals, stocks, weather, trade flows and the outlook for the next trading session.
Cocoa Daily Report
Rumors of a smaller cocoa harvest in Ecuador are circulating, which introduces a short-term supply-shock narrative into market sentiment. Despite the speculation, analysts continue to treat Ecuador as the second-largest cocoa producer globally. Forecasting agency CRA maintains a long-range projection of approximately 800,000 metric tons
Cocoa Daily Report
Cocoa futures in both the UK and US markets corrected on 6 January, reflecting a broad, front-led liquidity rotation rather than a structural shift in fundamentals or curve inversion. The UK curve gave back ground in an orderly manner, with March-26 down 1.22%. The US front corrected
Cocoa Daily Report
Ivory Coast cocoa port arrivals have declined on a weekly basis since mid-December, but this trend reflects a combination of policy-driven delivery pacing and seasonal movement patterns rather than pure logistical breakdown. In early December, Ivorian authorities tightened transport permits so that truck deliveries to Abidjan and San
Cocoa Daily Report
ICE cocoa futures sold off in the first post-holiday session, with front tenors leading weakness in both venues. In New York, Mar-26 closed at 5,891, down 152 (-2.52%) from 31-Dec, marking broad losses in May (-2.61%), July (-2.45%) and a smaller drop in
Cocoa Daily Report
On Wednesday, 31 December, cocoa futures markets closed 2025 with technically coherent but venue-divergent settlement, following a massive fund-assisted rally on 29 December and a liquidation-driven down session on 30 December. ICE US cocoa softened in the nearby 2026 tenors, with Mar-26 leading the pullback, while
Cocoa Daily Report
On Tuesday’s session, cocoa futures retraced significant gains made on Monday amid sharply reduced liquidity in the holiday period. Front-month March-26 cocoa on ICE U.S. closed down –166 points to 6,089 after climbing on Monday, while ICE London March-26 cocoa settled –115 points lower
Cocoa Daily Report
The cocoa market returned from the holidays with a renewed pulse in the futures tape, underpinned by re-engaged U.S. liquidity and a comparatively softer European close. On Monday,U.S. cocoa carried forward the mid-December bid structure, with nearby contracts closing sharply higher versus the last printed
Cocoa Daily Report
On 24 December, cocoa futures markets demonstrated technically driven and venue-divergent price action in a shortened holiday trading session. ICE US cocoa continued its prior-day rebound with modest, curve-wide gains across the 2026–27 strip, reflecting residual short covering under thin liquidity. ICE Europe cocoa, which closed
Cocoa Daily Report
The March cocoa contract in New York stabilized, closing at 5,958, up 78 from the prior settlement of 5,880, but holiday liquidity kept participation low and the rebound technical rather than trend-driven. Certified stocks and softer West African arrivals continue to provide a structural floor, leaving prices
Cocoa Daily Report
The March 2026 cocoa contract in New York rebounded on Monday, closing at $5,880, up $30 from Friday’s close of $5,850, as prices stabilized following last week’s liquidation-driven pullback. Trading activity remained relatively subdued at the start of the shortened holiday week, with volumes below
Cocoa Daily Report
Cocoa futures entered a corrective and consolidative phase this week as the market digested last week’s gains, contract expiry dynamics, and mixed physical signals from origin. After strong rallies in early December, prices pulled back sharply mid-week as favorable weather and above-average port arrivals in West Africa
Cocoa Daily Report
Past Week 51 Weather (December 15-21, 2025) Over the past week, rainfall across the core cocoa-growing regions of Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana was broadly near-normal to slightly above normal, according to the RFE2 anomaly data. Positive anomalies were generally modest, concentrated in the +10 to +50