Arabica Falls as Stocks Rebuild and December Premium Narrows (9 November 2026)
Arabica began the week under renewed pressure as stronger Brazilian exports, rising certified inventories and adjustments ahead of December expiry weighed on nearby prices. December settled at 273.60 cents/lb, down 6.40 cents or 2.29%, after trading between 272.80 and 280.60. The decline erased Friday's recovery and left the contract close to its session low.
March, now the most actively traded Arabica delivery, fell 4.40 cents or 1.62% to 267.25. December's larger loss and the sharp narrowing of its premium over March suggest that liquidation and rolling of nearby positions amplified the broader selling pressure.
Robusta was more resilient, although it also surrendered an early advance. January settled just $3 lower at $3,267/t, down 0.09%, after reaching $3,322. Its $3,261 low and settlement near the bottom of the range show that the almost unchanged daily result concealed a substantial retreat from the high.
| Contract | Settlement | Daily change | Daily change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arabica December 2026 | 273.60 cents/lb | −6.40 cents | −2.29% |
| Arabica March 2027 | 267.25 cents/lb | −4.40 cents | −1.62% |
| Arabica May 2027 | 263.15 cents/lb | −4.55 cents | −1.70% |
| Robusta January 2027 | $3,267/t | −$3 | −0.09% |
| Robusta March 2027 | $3,238/t | −$5 | −0.15% |
| Robusta May 2027 | $3,219/t | −$11 | −0.34% |
The final trades were weaker than the official settlements: December Arabica last traded at 273.05 cents, March at 266.70 and January Robusta at $3,263.
